Tropical Storm Gabrielle is expected to remain at sea.
Published on September 17, 2025 at 12:25 pm
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The National Hurricane Center has officially named the seventh storm of the season: Gabrielle.
The tropical storm will stay out over the central tropical Atlantic through the end of the week. It also will stay away from the U.S. East Coast.
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The Hurricane Center predicts Gabrielle will become a hurricane by Sunday morning. But the jet stream, displaced south, will prevent this system from turning west, toward the U.S.
At most, over the weekend, there could be high waves, surf, and the risk of rip currents, but at a safe distance from the smaller Caribbean islands, so that there is no direct impact.
Bermuda, on the other hand, should monitor this system closely, as it could have a chance to come close next week. As of now, it is too soon to know how close it could be to Bermuda.
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What we can say is that this system does not have a chance to affect the Southeast, including Florida. Depending on when it makes the northward turn, there could be rough seas along the Florida east coast, but this will also depend on whether the system expands its wind field as it travels north.
Tropical disturbance after Gabrielle
There is not much to report about the next tropical wave that has just emerged from Africa. It is over 3,000 miles away and very disorganized in its infancy stages.
Long-range models hint that it will follow Gabrielle’s track, but others don’t show any further development. Nevertheless, it is far too soon to discuss what this system could become. We will continue to provide you with updates as these disturbances develop.
Deep moisture in place
Florida, specifically South Florida, should closely monitor the heavy rains that will affect the region between Wednesday and Friday.
A flash flood risk will be in effect at least until Friday, as rainfall is expected to range from 2 to 4 inches across major metropolitan areas in Miami-Dade, Broward and Palm Beach counties, with some isolated spots receiving over 6 inches.
Please stay away from flooded roads.
